
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Columbia University is the first among Columbia, Harvard, UCLA, Yale, NYU, and University of Wisconsin to either postpone or cancel any of its commencement ceremonies. If none of the listed universities have canceled or postponed their commencement by May 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. If any other listed university postpones or cancels first, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as such an announcement is made, provided it precedes any similar announcement from the other listed universities. Commencements which are changed to an exclusively virtual format, will be considered 'canceled'. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from one of the listed universities, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Harvard University is the first among Columbia, Harvard, UCLA, Yale, NYU, and University of Wisconsin to either postpone or cancel any of its commencement ceremonies. If none of the listed universities have canceled or postponed their commencement by May 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. If any other listed university postpones or cancels first, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as such an announcement is made, provided it precedes any similar announcement from the other listed universities. Commencements which are changed to an exclusively virtual format, will be considered 'canceled'. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from one of the listed universities, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the University of California Los Angles is the first among Columbia, Harvard, UCLA, Yale, NYU, and University of Wisconsin to either postpone or cancel any of its commencement ceremonies. If none of the listed universities have canceled or postponed their commencement by May 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. If any other listed university postpones or cancels first, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as such an announcement is made, provided it precedes any similar announcement from the other listed universities. Commencements which are changed to an exclusively virtual format, will be considered 'canceled'. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from one of the listed universities, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Yale University is the first among Columbia, Harvard, UCLA, Yale, NYU, and University of Wisconsin to either postpone or cancel any of its commencement ceremonies. If none of the listed universities have canceled or postponed their commencement by May 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. If any other listed university postpones or cancels first, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as such an announcement is made, provided it precedes any similar announcement from the other listed universities. Commencements which are changed to an exclusively virtual format, will be considered 'canceled'. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from one of the listed universities, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if New York University is the first among Columbia, Harvard, UCLA, Yale, NYU, and University of Wisconsin to either postpone or cancel any of its commencement ceremonies. If none of the listed universities have canceled or postponed their commencement by May 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. If any other listed university postpones or cancels first, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as such an announcement is made, provided it precedes any similar announcement from the other listed universities. Commencements which are changed to an exclusively virtual format, will be considered 'canceled'. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from one of the listed universities, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the University of Wisconsin is the frist among Columbia, Harvard, UCLA, Yale, NYU, and University of Wisconsin to either postpone or cancel any of its commencement ceremonies. If none of the listed universities have canceled or postponed their commencement by May 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to “No”. If any other listed university postpones or cancels first, this market will resolve to "No". This market will resolve to "Yes" as soon as such an announcement is made, provided it precedes any similar announcement from the other listed universities. Commencements which are changed to an exclusively virtual format, will be considered 'canceled'. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from one of the listed universities, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" If none of Columbia, Harvard, UCLA, Yale, NYU, or University of Wisconsin have canceled or postponed their commencement by May 10, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". Commencements which are changed to an exclusively virtual format, will be considered 'canceled'. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from one of the listed universities, however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:14:33 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.