
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
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How research worksGOP lawmakers are making moves to become the next House Republican conference chair in the wake of President-elect Trump tapping Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) to serve as his ambassador to the United Nations (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/11/11/house-republicans-elise-stefanik-leadership-role). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lisa McClain is announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will will resolve based on the first official announcement of the next Republican House Conference Chair from the Republican Party. If no Republican House Conference Chair is announced by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksGOP lawmakers are making moves to become the next House Republican conference chair in the wake of President-elect Trump tapping Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) to serve as his ambassador to the United Nations (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/11/11/house-republicans-elise-stefanik-leadership-role). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kat Cammack is announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will will resolve based on the first official announcement of the next Republican House Conference Chair from the Republican Party. If no Republican House Conference Chair is announced by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksGOP lawmakers are making moves to become the next House Republican conference chair in the wake of President-elect Trump tapping Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) to serve as his ambassador to the United Nations (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/11/11/house-republicans-elise-stefanik-leadership-role). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Erin Houchin is announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will will resolve based on the first official announcement of the next Republican House Conference Chair from the Republican Party. If no Republican House Conference Chair is announced by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksGOP lawmakers are making moves to become the next House Republican conference chair in the wake of President-elect Trump tapping Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) to serve as his ambassador to the United Nations (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/11/11/house-republicans-elise-stefanik-leadership-role). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Anna Paulina Luna is announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will will resolve based on the first official announcement of the next Republican House Conference Chair from the Republican Party. If no Republican House Conference Chair is announced by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksGOP lawmakers are making moves to become the next House Republican conference chair in the wake of President-elect Trump tapping Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) to serve as his ambassador to the United Nations (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/11/11/house-republicans-elise-stefanik-leadership-role). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Blake Moore is announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will will resolve based on the first official announcement of the next Republican House Conference Chair from the Republican Party. If no Republican House Conference Chair is announced by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksGOP lawmakers are making moves to become the next House Republican conference chair in the wake of President-elect Trump tapping Rep. Elise Stefanik (R-N.Y.) to serve as his ambassador to the United Nations (see: https://www.axios.com/2024/11/11/house-republicans-elise-stefanik-leadership-role). This market will resolve to "Yes" if anyone other than McClain, Cammack, Houchin, Paulina Luna, or Blake Moore is announced as the next Republican House Conference Chair after the 2024 U.S. General Election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will will resolve based on the first official announcement of the next Republican House Conference Chair from the Republican Party. If no Republican House Conference Chair is announced by June 30, 2025, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 10:40:45 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.