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Next Prime Minister of Norway
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$6.9M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCSep 8, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
20 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Jonas Gahr StøreClosedMarket odds100%
Will Jonas Gahr Støre become the next Prime Minister of Norway?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Sep 8, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to the individual who is formally appointed Prime Minister by royal decree of the King of Norway in the Council of State following the 2025 parliamentary election. If no such decree is issued—for example, in cases of government continuity—the sitting Prime Minister at the time the King appoints ministers for the new cabinet will be considered the winner. If the incumbent Prime Minister and cabinet are confirmed by a consensus of credible reporting to have secured re-election without the need for a new decree or formal appointment, the market will resolve accordingly. If no new government is appointed by December 31, 2025, the market will resolve to the most recently appointed permanent Prime Minister. Only Prime Ministers who take office as a result of an election will qualify. Any interim or caretaker Prime Minister—including those serving under Norway’s standing incapacity rule—will not count toward the resolution of this market. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Norway; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.