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Next Prime Minister of New Zealand?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 34 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$246
Total volume$40.9K
Liquidity$146.8K
Event end date · UTCNov 8, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
34 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Christopher LuxonAccepting ordersMarket odds54.5%
Will Christopher Luxon be the next Prime Minister of New Zealand after the 2026 elections?
Yes54.5%Polymarket estimate
No45.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $27.6K
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 8, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 54.0¢ / 55.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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