Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Yes97.5%Polymarket estimate

No2.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $11K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 3, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 96.2¢ / 98.8¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Yes0.6%Polymarket estimate

No99.4%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $11.8K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 3, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 0.2¢ / 1.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.

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Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Saeima of Latvia are scheduled to take place on October 3, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who assumes the office of Prime Minister of Latvia following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the Cabinet led by the individual must receive the confidence of the Saeima in a vote of confidence. Any interim, caretaker, or acting Prime Minister, or a Prime Minister whose Cabinet has not received the confidence of the Saeima will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Prime Minister takes office by July 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Saeima and the Government of Latvia; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Ilze Indriksone be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

Yes0.05%Polymarket estimate

No>99.9%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $11.3K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 3, 2026
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.

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Next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Outcomes & resolution rules

Will Andris Kulbergs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Ainārs Šlesers be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Ilze Indriksone be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Andris Šuvajevs be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Viktors Valainis be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Arvils Ašeradens be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Svetlana Čulkova be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Jūlija Stepaņenko be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person A be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person B be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person C be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person D be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person E be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person F be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person G be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person H be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person I be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person J be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person K be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person L be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person M be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person N be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person O be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person P be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person Q be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?

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Will Person R be the next Prime Minister of Latvia?