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Next Prime Minister of France?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$814.5K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMar 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
19 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Sébastien LecornuClosedMarket odds0%
Will Sébastien Lecornu be the next French Prime Minister?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 30, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Sébastien Lecornu is selected to become the next Prime Minister of France succeeding Michel Barnier. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution of this market will be based on the first official announcement of the next permanent Prime Minister after Michel Barnier. The primary resolution source will be official information from the government of France; however, a consensus of credible media sources will also suffice. If the next Prime Minister after Michel Barnier is not known by June 30, 2025 ET, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim or acting prime minister will not count toward the resolution of this market.