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Next Prime Minister of Australia?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$8.6M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMay 3, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
15 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Peter DuttonClosedMarket odds0%
Will Peter Dutton be the next Prime Minister of Australia after the 2025 election?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- May 13, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The 2025 Australian federal election will be held on or before 17 May 2025 to elect members of the 48th Parliament of Australia. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Peter Dutton is the next Prime Minister of Australia following the election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." Any interim/caretaker Prime Minister will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no next Prime Minister of Australia is announced by December 31, of 2025, 11:59 PM ET this market will resolve to "No." The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Government of Australia, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.