
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Mohammad Mokhber becomes the next permanent President of Iran. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting president will not count toward the resolution of this market. The announcement of which candidates will be approved to run for President is currently scheduled for June 11. If this candidate is officially not approved to run for President, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the next President of Iran is not instated by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Gholam-Hossein Esmaeili becomes the next permanent President of Iran. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting president will not count toward the resolution of this market. The announcement of which candidates will be approved to run for President is currently scheduled for June 11. If this candidate is officially not approved to run for President, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the next President of Iran is not instated by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Moshen Rezaee becomes the next permanent President of Iran. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting president will not count toward the resolution of this market. The announcement of which candidates will be approved to run for President is currently scheduled for June 11. If this candidate is officially not approved to run for President, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the next President of Iran is not instated by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any person other than Mohammad Mokhber, Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf, Gholam-Hossein Esmaeili, Moshen Rezaee, Saeed Jalili, Mehrdad Bazrpash, Ali Larijani, Javad Zarif, Ali Akbar Salehi, Abdolnaser Hemmati, Ali Shamkhani, Mojtaba Khamenei, or Hassan Rouhani becomes the next permanent President of Iran. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting president will not count toward the resolution of this market. If the next President of Iran is not instated by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Saeed Jalili becomes the next permanent President of Iran. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting president will not count toward the resolution of this market. The announcement of which candidates will be approved to run for President is currently scheduled for June 11. If this candidate is officially not approved to run for President, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the next President of Iran is not instated by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Mehrdad Bazrpash becomes the next permanent President of Iran. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting president will not count toward the resolution of this market. The announcement of which candidates will be approved to run for President is currently scheduled for June 11. If this candidate is officially not approved to run for President, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the next President of Iran is not instated by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ali Larijani becomes the next permanent President of Iran. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting president will not count toward the resolution of this market. The announcement of which candidates will be approved to run for President is currently scheduled for June 11. If this candidate is officially not approved to run for President, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the next President of Iran is not instated by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Javad Zarif becomes the next permanent President of Iran. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting president will not count toward the resolution of this market. The announcement of which candidates will be approved to run for President is currently scheduled for June 11. If this candidate is officially not approved to run for President, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the next President of Iran is not instated by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ali Akbar Salehi becomes the next permanent President of Iran. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting president will not count toward the resolution of this market. The announcement of which candidates will be approved to run for President is currently scheduled for June 11. If this candidate is officially not approved to run for President, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the next President of Iran is not instated by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Abdolnaser Hemmati becomes the next permanent President of Iran. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting president will not count toward the resolution of this market. The announcement of which candidates will be approved to run for President is currently scheduled for June 11. If this candidate is officially not approved to run for President, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the next President of Iran is not instated by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Ali Shamkhani becomes the next permanent President of Iran. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting president will not count toward the resolution of this market. The announcement of which candidates will be approved to run for President is currently scheduled for June 11. If this candidate is officially not approved to run for President, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the next President of Iran is not instated by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf becomes the next permanent President of Iran. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting president will not count toward the resolution of this market. The announcement of which candidates will be approved to run for President is currently scheduled for June 11. If this candidate is officially not approved to run for President, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the next President of Iran is not instated by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Mojtaba Khamenei becomes the next permanent President of Iran. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting president will not count toward the resolution of this market. The announcement of which candidates will be approved to run for President is currently scheduled for June 11. If this candidate is officially not approved to run for President, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the next President of Iran is not instated by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Hassan Rouhani becomes the next permanent President of Iran. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Any interim or acting president will not count toward the resolution of this market. The announcement of which candidates will be approved to run for President is currently scheduled for June 11. If this candidate is officially not approved to run for President, this market will immediately resolve to "No". If the next President of Iran is not instated by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the government of Iran, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 4:40:46 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.