Next Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

Yes98.2%Polymarket estimate

No1.9%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $12.2K
Deadline · UTC: Sep 21, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 97.5¢ / 98.8¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Will Leif-Erik Holm be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

Yes1.7%Polymarket estimate

No98.3%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $14.9K
Deadline · UTC: Sep 21, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 1.0¢ / 2.4¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern are scheduled to take place on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Ministerpräsident will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Ministerpräsident takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Landtag of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

Will Daniel Peters be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

Yes0.9%Polymarket estimate

No99.1%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $14.5K
Deadline · UTC: Sep 21, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 0.3¢ / 1.5¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.

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Next Ministerpräsident of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Outcomes & resolution rules

Will Manuela Schwesig be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Leif-Erik Holm be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Daniel Peters be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Simone Oldenburg be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Claudia Müller be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Jakob Schirmer be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Enrico Schult be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate B be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate C be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate D be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate E be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate F be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate G be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate H be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate I be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate J be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate K be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate L be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate M be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate N be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate O be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate P be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate Q be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate R be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate S be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?

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Will Candidate T be the next Minister-President of Mecklenburg-Vorpommern?