Next Japanese Prime Minister

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Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Oct 4, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Oct 4, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve according to the next appointed Prime Minister of Japan, succeeding Shigeru Ishiba. Any PM formally appointed by the Japanese Emperor will qualify. If no new PM is appointed by April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No new PM”. If early general elections are called before the new PM has officially been appointed, this market will resolve to “Election called”. The resolution of this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.

Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Oct 4, 2025
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Next Japanese Prime Minister

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Price history

Outcomes & resolution rules

Will there be no new Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Shinjirō Koizumi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Yoshimasa Hayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Sanae Takaichi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Taro Kono be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Toshimitsu Motegi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Takayuki Kobayashi be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Yōko Kamikawa be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Yoshihiko Noda be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will Yuichiro Tamaki be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate A be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate B be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate C be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate D be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate E be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate F be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate G be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate H be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate I be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate J be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate K be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate L be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate M be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate N be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate O be the next Prime Minister of Japan?

Closed market · historical data

Resolution rules

Will candidate P be the next Prime Minister of Japan?