
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the next official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas begins between June 10, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and June 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that both parties have agreed to a ceasefire.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the next official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas begins between July 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and July 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that both parties have agreed to a ceasefire.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the next official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas begins between August 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and August 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that both parties have agreed to a ceasefire.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the next official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas begins between September 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and September 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that both parties have agreed to a ceasefire.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the next official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas begins between October 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and October 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that both parties have agreed to a ceasefire.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the next official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas begins between November 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and November 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that both parties have agreed to a ceasefire.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if the next official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas begins between December 1, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or a consensus of credible reporting confirming that both parties have agreed to a ceasefire.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if there is no official ceasefire agreement, defined as a publicly announced and mutually upon agreed halt in military engagement, between Israel and Hamas that begins between June 10, 2024, 12:00 AM ET, and December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market's resolution will be based on official government announcements from both Israel and Hamas, or reports from credible media source.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:41:27 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.