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Next French Prime Minister
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$675K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
13 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Marine Le PenClosedMarket odds0%
Marine Le Pen next Prime Minister of France?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Marine Le Pen is officially appointed as the Prime Minister of France following the next legislative elections scheduled for June 30 and July 7, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An interim or acting prime ministership will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no prime minister is appointed by December 31, 2024, this market will also resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the French government, however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.