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Which NYC Casinos will get approved?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$137.2K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCFeb 28, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
8 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
The Avenir in ManhattanClosedMarket odds0%
Will Silverstein Properties and Greenwood Gaming receive a license for The Avenir casino in Manhattan?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
The New York State Gaming Facility Location Board is expected to announce its decision on awarding up to three new casino licenses by December. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the listed project is officially granted a license by February 28, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, it will resolve to "No". An announcement alone will not count as a "Yes" resolution; only the issuance of an official license will qualify. This market will resolve to "No" if the granting of such a license becomes impossible for a listed project, for example, if the application is officially declined. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the New York State Gaming Facility Location Board or another official representative of the State of New York; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.