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New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$0
Total volume$61K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCFeb 25, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
New mystery balloon shot down by Sunday?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Feb 25, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
On February 23, 2024 it was reported that the military is tracking an unidentified high-altitude balloon over the western part of the United States: (https://www.cbsnews.com/news/military-tracking-balloon-western-us-military/) This market will resolve to "Yes" if the new "mystery balloon" reported floating over US territory is shot out of the sky by any means by Sunday, February 25, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official statements made by the government of the United States of America, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 7:09:31 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.