Loading your workspace…
All markets
New Hampshire Democratic Primary Winner
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$0
Total volume$281.8K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCJan 23, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
4 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Joe Biden (Write-in)ClosedMarket odds100%
Will Joe Biden win the New Hampshire Democratic primary?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $74.8K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 21, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
Due to disagreements between the Democratic National Committee (DNC) and the New Hampshire Democratic Party, Joe Biden did not file a Declaration of Candidacy for the New Hampshire Primary and thus will not appear on the Primary ballot. Biden's campaign is pushing for a flood of write-ins to try to win the state's Primary. This market will resolve to "Yes" if President Joe Biden wins the greatest number of votes in the 2024 New Hampshire Democratic presidential primary. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." If no such primary takes place in New Hampshire in 2024, this market will resolve to “No”. The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the New Hampshire Democratic party, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.