Loading your workspace…
All markets
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$246.4K
Liquidity$331.8
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Accepting ordersMarket odds13%
New COVID variant of concern before 2027?
Yes13%Polymarket estimate
No87%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $424.7
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 12.0¢ / 14.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
AI research not covered
Initial research coverage focuses on politics and the economy.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the CDC identifies a new COVID variant of concern between December 1, 2025, and December 31, 2026, 11:59PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". The CDC's variant classification scheme can be found here: https://stacks.cdc.gov/view/cdc/107682. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the CDC.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 4:57:48 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.