
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Sam Brown wins the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Nevada. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Nevada Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Jeff Gunter wins the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Nevada. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Nevada Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Jim Marchant wins the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Nevada. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Nevada Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Tony Grady wins the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Nevada. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Nevada Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any candidate other than Sam Brown, Jeff Gunter, Jim Marchant, or Tony Grady wins the Republican Primary for United States Senator from Nevada. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The resolution source for this market will be the first announcement of the results from the Nevada Republican Primary, however an overwhelming consensus of credible reporting may suffice.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:35:00 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.