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Netherlands General Election: Which party will win the most seats?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volume$0
Total volume$52.4K
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCNov 22, 2023
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
4 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
VVDClosedMarket odds0%
Will VVD win a plurality in the 2023 Dutch General Election?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 22, 2023
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if VVD (People's Party for Freedom and Democracy) controls a greater number of seats in the House of Representatives than any other party after the results of the 2023 Dutch general election are finalized. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the results of this election aren't known by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity official information from the government of the Netherlands and/or information published through the official website of the Dutch electoral council (https://english.kiesraad.nl/) will be used.