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Netherlands Election: Which major party wins fewest seats?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$81.4K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCOct 29, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
CDAClosedMarket odds100%
Will CDA win the fewest seats in the next Netherlands General Election?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 29, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to the political party that wins the fewest number of seats among the listed parties in the Netherlands House of Representatives (Tweede Kamer der Staten-Generaal) as a result of this election. Only listed parties will be considered. If voting in the Netherlands election for the House does not occur by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve to “Other.” In the case of a tie between two or more of the listed parties for the fewest seats won, this market will resolve in favor of the party whose listed abbreviation comes first in alphabetical order. This market’s resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the listed party or coalition. This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, it will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Electoral Council (Kiesraad) (https://www.kiesraad.nl/). Note: If the GL/PvdA alliance splits and announces they will not run a joint list, this market will refer to the Labor Party (PvdA).