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Netanyahu drops out before election?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
Choose a market to analyze 1 eligible question · Evidence required
24h volume$10.3
Total volume$10.3
Liquidity$11.5K
Event end date · UTCOct 27, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Netanyahu drops out before election?Accepting ordersMarket odds3%
Netanyahu drops out before election?
Yes3%Polymarket estimate
No97.1%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $11.5K
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 27, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 1.2¢ / 4.7¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve to “Yes” if Benjamin Netanyahu announces that he will not run for reelection to the Israeli Knesset in this election by October 26, 2026, 11:59 PM Jerusalem Time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Only definitive announcements will count. Suggestions, statements of consideration, or other non-definitive statements will not count. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Benjamin Netanyahu; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.