
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to “Yes” if any 1-seeded team does not advance past the round of 32 in the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No” If the 2026 Men’s Basketball NCAA Tournament is cancelled, postponed after April 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or the round of 32 has not been completed by this time, this market will resolve to 50-50. The resolution source for this market will be official information from the NCAA; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:10:32 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.