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National Guard deployed to Aurora by next Friday?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$50.1K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCSep 15, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
National Guard deployed to Aurora by next Friday?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Sep 15, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the US National Guard is deployed in Aurora, Colorado in response to gang activity between August 29 and September 6, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Only the actual deployment of the US National Guard (including the Colorado National Guard) will suffice for this market to resolve to "Yes"; an announcement of a future deployment alone will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the government of the United States, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.