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Muse on Meta glasses by...?
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Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 2 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$1.1K
Total volume$1.1K
Liquidity$814.3
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
2 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
October 31Accepting ordersMarket odds16.5%
Will Muse be available on Meta glasses by October 31, 2026?
Yes16.5%Polymarket estimate
No83.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $510.2
- Deadline · UTC
- Nov 1, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 14.0¢ / 19.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
At Meta Connect on September 23, 2026, Meta announced that Muse, its personal AI agent, would come to its AI glasses in the coming months (see: https://about.fb.com/news/2026/09/the-biggest-news-from-connect-2026/). This market will resolve to "Yes" if Meta makes Muse available on any of its AI glasses by 11:59 PM ET on the specified date. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Muse will be considered available on Meta's AI glasses if Meta releases a feature allowing users to give instructions to their Muse personal AI agent through the glasses. A qualifying release must be launched and publicly accessible, including via open beta or a gradual rollout. A closed beta or any form of private access will not suffice. Availability limited to paid subscription plans or to certain countries will qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Meta, with additional verification from a consensus of credible reporting.