
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
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How research worksOn Feb 12 the IDF reported they had rescued 2 hostages from Rafah. This market will resolve to "Yes" if at least one more hostage is released or rescued in Gaza between February 12 and February 29, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Hamas, Israel, the United States, and/or the relevant nations/groups to whom any potential released hostages belong, however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 10:54:48 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.