
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksMoonshot AI announced that it plans to publish the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026 (see: https://www.kimi.com/blog/kimi-k3). This market will resolve to “Yes” if Moonshot AI publicly releases the full model weights for Kimi K3 by July 27, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. The weights will be considered publicly released if the complete official Kimi K3 model weights are made publicly downloadable. The release will qualify regardless of any licensing restrictions on acceptable or commercial use, provided the weights are publicly downloadable. Quantized, converted, distilled, partial, or otherwise modified versions released by third parties will not qualify. A release consisting solely of an API, hosted access, inference code, architecture information, a technical report, or a repository without the complete downloadable weights will not qualify. The resolution source for this market will be official information and repositories from Moonshot AI. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 2:26:03 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.