Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$83.5K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCMar 31, 2026

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds0%

Minneapolis Border Patrol Shooter fired/resigns by March 31?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Mar 31, 2026
Yes bid / ask: — / 0.1¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

On January 24, 2026, a Border Patrol agent committed a shooting in Minneapolis (see: https://www.nytimes.com/2026/01/24/us/politics/second-ice-shooting-minneapolis.html). This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Border Patrol agent who fired the shots in the specified shooting ceases to be an employee of his employing agency as of this market's creation for any length of time between market creation and March 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement of the officer’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. Suspensions, administrative leave, or other temporary measures will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.