Milton landfall at what category?

Will Milton make landfall as a category 2 or lower?

Liquidity

Unavailable

Deadline · UTC

Oct 31, 2024

Yes bid / ask

— / 0.1¢

Trading fees

Not flagged by provider

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the tropical system currently named Milton first makes landfall in the contiguous United States as a Category 2 hurricane or weaker, as reported in official National Hurricane Center advisories (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/archive/2024/MILTON.shtml). If Milton is not officially reported to be Category 2 or weaker at the time of its first landfall in the contiguous United States, this market shall resolve to "No". If Milton dissipates without making landfall in the contiguous United States, this market will resolve to "Yes". For the purposes of this market, hurricane categories are defined by NOAA (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php), and a hurricane landfall is considered to occur when the hurricane's surface center intersects with the coastline (https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutgloss.shtml#LANDFALL). This market will resolve based on an initial advisory released by the NHC for whether Milton has made landfall in the contiguous United States at a strength of Category 2 or weaker, regardless of any later retraction or analysis that may contradict the initial announcement.