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Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$60.3
Total volume$78.3K
Liquidity$2.8K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?Accepting ordersMarket odds6.5%
Michael Saylor federally charged by December 31, 2026?
Yes6.5%Polymarket estimate
No93.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $2.8K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 6.0¢ / 7.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
AI research not covered
Initial research coverage focuses on politics and the economy.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the United States federal government formally charges or announces a criminal indictment of MicroStrategy Chairman Michael Saylor between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. It will not be relevant for this market if Michael Saylor is no longer Chairman of Microstrategy at any point. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from US governmental sources, however a wide consensus of credible reporting will also be used.