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Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Choose a market to analyze 8 open questions · Evidence required
24h volume$280
Total volume$42.8K
Liquidity$4.6K
Event end date · UTCOct 30, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
8 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
<0.5%Accepting ordersMarket odds7.6%
Will Mexico GDP growth in Q3 2026 be less than 0.5%?
Yes7.6%Polymarket estimate
No92.4%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $392.4
- Deadline · UTC
- Oct 30, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.9¢ / 14.3¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve according to Mexico's Y/Y Growth Rate of Gross Domestic Product (GDP) in the "Timely Estimate of Quarterly GDP" release for Q3 of 2026, scheduled for release on October 30, 2026. If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket. The GDP release will be made available here: https://en.www.inegi.org.mx/app/saladeprensa/ If no data for the specified quarter is released by the date the next quarter's data is scheduled to be released, this market will resolve based on data from the last available quarter. Note: data from the initial release of the referenced GDP report is what will be used to resolve this market. Data may be revised during the following quarter or as a part of the next estimate's publication, however any revisions to GDP report data made after the initial release will not be considered for this market's resolution.