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How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Max Verstappen wins the "Max vs 100" karting event scheduled to take place at Silverstone on September 16, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is postponed, this market will remain open until it is completed. If the event is canceled entirely with no make-up, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official live broadcast of the event and official results or announcements from the event organizers (Red Bull, Disney+ and ESPN); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Caedrel beats Max Verstappen in the "Max vs 100" karting event scheduled to take place at Silverstone on September 16, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, Caedrel beats Max Verstappen if Caedrel is classified ahead of Verstappen in the event's official final results. If no full final classification is published within 48 hours of the completion of the event, this market will instead resolve to "Yes" if Verstappen has not overtaken (passed) Caedrel by the end of the event, per the official broadcast or the event organizers' official ruling; if both an official final classification and a broadcast determination are available and conflict, the official final classification will govern. If Verstappen retires or otherwise fails to finish while Caedrel remains in the event without having been overtaken by Verstappen, this market will resolve to "Yes". If Caedrel crashes out, retires, is eliminated, or otherwise fails to finish having been overtaken by or behind Verstappen at that point, this market will resolve to "No". If Caedrel does not take part in the event, this market will resolve to "No". If the event is postponed, this market will remain open until it is completed. If the event is canceled entirely with no make-up, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be the official live broadcast of the event and official results or announcements from the event organizers (Red Bull, Disney+ and ESPN); however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:07:04 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.