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Mamdani wears a yarmulke by the end of Channukah?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$5.1K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 13, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Mamdani wears a yarmulke by the end of Channukah?ClosedMarket odds100%
Mamdani wears a yarmulke by the end of Channukah?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 13, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Zohran Mamdani, is photographed or videotaped wearing a Yarmulke/Kippah at any point between market creation and December 12, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. For this market to resolve to "Yes," the images or video must be both taken and released within this market's timeframe. The images or video must be authentic. Archival material, previously recorded footage, reused images, or AI-generated media will not qualify. The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting, including images or video evidence.