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Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$176.8K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCDec 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds100%
Luigi Mangione extradited to New York before 2025?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Dec 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the suspected shooter of United Healthcare CEO, Luigi Mangione, is extradited to the state of New York by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No". "Extradited" to New York means Luigi Mangione enters the territory of New York state while in custody. If he is flown to or over New York, he must set foot on the ground within the state for it to count toward a "Yes" resolution. The resolution source will be official government sources from the relevant extraditing and receiving institutions, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.