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Lucie Castets appointed as French PM by August 31?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$12.2K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCAug 31, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Lucie Castets appointed as French PM by August 31?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 31, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 0.1¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lucie Castets is officially appointed as Prime Minister of France by 11:59 PM ET on August 31, 2024. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The appointment of Castets will be sufficient for a "Yes", resolution regardless of whether Castets subsequently passes a vote of confidence or is able to successfully form a government. The primary resolution will be official information from the French government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 11:57:11 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.