Loading your workspace…
All markets
Lowest temperature in NYC on May 22?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
View a sample AI report This event is outside current AI coverage.
24h volume$20
Total volume$20
Liquidity$3.9K
Event end date · UTCMay 22, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
11 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
43°F or belowDeadline passedMarket odds0.6%
Will the lowest temperature in New York City be 43°F or below on May 22?
Yes0.6%Polymarket estimate
No99.4%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $46.6
- Deadline · UTC
- May 22, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.2¢ / 1.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 May '26. The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day by the Forecast for the LaGuardia Airport Station once information is finalized, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA. To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C. This market can not resolve to "Yes" until all data for this date has been finalized. The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is finalized for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.