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Lithuania Presidential Election Winner
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$269K
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCMay 26, 2024
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
6 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Gitanas NausedaClosedMarket odds100%
Will Gitanas Nauseda win the 2024 Lithuanian presidential election?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- May 26, 2024
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market concerns the 2024 Lithuanian presidential election. The first round of Lithuania's 2024 presidential election is scheduled for May 12. If no candidate receives more than half of the votes, a second round with the two candidates receiving the most votes will occur on May 26. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Gitanas Nauseda wins the 2024 Lithuanian presidential election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "No". In the case of a two-round election, if this candidate is eliminated before the second round, this market may immediately resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lithuania; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also suffice.