Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$4.9K

Liquidity$247.9

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds8.5%

Lisa Murkowski leaves the Republican Party in 2026?

Yes8.5%Polymarket estimate

No91.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $247.9
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 5.0¢ / 12.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if Lisa Murkowski leaves, or announces that she is leaving, the Republican Party by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. An official announcement from Murkowski that she will leave the Republican Party, join a separate party, or become an independent within this market’s timeframe will be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, regardless of when the announced party switch is intended to take effect or whether Murkowski intends to continue caucusing with the Republican Party. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lisa Murkowski; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.