
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Jodie Foster wins the 2024 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress for a Limited Series. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." In the case of a tie between this actress and another, the market will resolve in favor of the actress whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Brie Larson wins the 2024 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress for a Limited Series. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." In the case of a tie between this actress and another, the market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Juno Temple wins the 2024 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress for a Limited Series. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." In the case of a tie between this actress and another, the market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Sofia Vergara wins the 2024 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress for a Limited Series. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." In the case of a tie between this actress and another, the market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Naomi Watts wins the 2024 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress for a Limited Series. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." In the case of a tie between this actress and another, the market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an actress other than Jodie Foster, Brie Larson, Juno Temple, Sofia Vergara or Naomi Watts wins the 2024 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actress for a Limited Series. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." In the case of a tie between a actress and another, the market will resolve in favor of the actress whose last name comes first alphabetically.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 12:13:26 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.