
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Jon Hamm wins the 2024 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor for a Limited Series. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." In the case of a tie between this actor and another, the market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Richard Gadd wins the 2024 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor for a Limited Series. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." In the case of a tie between this actor and another, the market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Andrew Scott wins the 2024 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor for a Limited Series. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." In the case of a tie between this actor and another, the market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Tom Hollander wins the 2024 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor for a Limited Series. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." In the case of a tie between this actor and another, the market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Matt Bomer wins the 2024 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor for a Limited Series. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." In the case of a tie between this actor and another, the market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first alphabetically.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if an actor other than Jon Hamm, Richard Gadd, Andrew Scott, Tom Hollander or Matt Bomer wins the 2024 Emmy for Outstanding Lead Actor for a Limited Series. Otherwise this market will resolve to "No." In the case of a tie between a actor and another, the market will resolve in favor of the actor whose last name comes first alphabetically.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 1:33:58 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.