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Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
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Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required
24h volume$19.2
Total volume$3K
Liquidity$11.7K
Event end date · UTCApr 18, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?Accepting ordersMarket odds9.5%
Le Pen ankle monitor before French Presidential Election?
Yes9.5%Polymarket estimate
No90.5%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $11.7K
- Deadline · UTC
- Apr 18, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 9.0¢ / 10.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Marine Le Pen wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device at any time between market creation and April 17, 2027, at 11:59 PM Paris time. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. This market will resolve solely based on whether Marine Le Pen actually wears a court-ordered or legally imposed electronic monitoring device during the specified time frame, regardless of any pending or future appeal, outstanding sentence, change to her candidacy or eligibility status, or other legal proceeding or formality. Fitness monitoring devices, smartwatches, or other similar consumer-grade wearable technology will not qualify. A brief fitting, test, demonstration, or other non-compulsory use of an electronic monitoring device will not qualify unless Le Pen wears the device as part of an active electronic monitoring measure imposed by a court or other competent legal authority. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.