Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

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Will Élodie Murphy-Gauthier win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

Yes82%Polymarket estimate

No18%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $19.7K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 5, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 81.0¢ / 83.0¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Will Guy Veillette win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

Yes1.7%Polymarket estimate

No98.4%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $17.3K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 5, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 0.5¢ / 2.8¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.

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Resolution rules

Parliamentary elections to elect all 127 seats of the National Assembly of Quebec are scheduled to take place in Quebec on October 5, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election for a full term beginning in October 2026 or thereafter. If the election results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official election results as published by Elections Quebec (https://www.electionsquebec.qc.ca/).

Resolution source

Will Laurent Bélisle win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

Yes0.5%Polymarket estimate

No99.5%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $11K
Deadline · UTC: Oct 5, 2026
Yes bid / ask: 0.2¢ / 0.8¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.

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Resolution rules

Resolution source

Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly Election Winner

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Outcomes & resolution rules

Will Élodie Murphy-Gauthier win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Resolution rules

Will Guy Veillette win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Laurent Bélisle win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Charles Paquin win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person A win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person B win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person C win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person D win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person E win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person F win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person G win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person H win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person I win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person J win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person K win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person L win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person M win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person N win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person O win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person P win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person Q win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person R win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person S win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person T win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person U win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?

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Will Person V win the next Laviolette–Saint-Maurice Quebec National Assembly election?