Larger Margin of Victory: Virginia or New Jersey Governor?

Foretrace AI research

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$48K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCNov 4, 2025

Price history

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

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ClosedMarket odds100%

Larger Margin of Victory: Virginia or New Jersey Governor?

Virginia100%Polymarket estimate

New Jersey0%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Nov 4, 2025
Virginia bid / ask: 99.8¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Virginia" if the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 Virginia Governor election is greater than the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 New Jersey Governor election. This market will resolve to "New Jersey" if the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 New Jersey election is greater than the Democratic candidate’s margin of victory in the 2025 Virginia Governor election. For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the difference in percentage points between the Democratic and Republican candidates’ final vote shares in the respective election. If the margin of victory is identical or if results of either election are not confirmed by July 31, 2026, this market will resolve 50-50. The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting; however, if there is any ambiguity in the results, this market will resolve according to the official election authority responsible for conducting the election in each state.