
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
See a probability estimate with uncertainty, the evidence for and against it, and a conditional decision at the available price.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Lalit Modi officially announces the launch of a new mixed martial arts league by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An official qualifying public announcement during 2026 will count for a “Yes” resolution regardless of when the new league launches. Informal announcements, statements from unnamed sources, or leaks will not qualify. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Lalit Modi; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 11:09:03 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.