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Lai Ching-te impeached by...?
Foretrace AI research
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Choose a market to analyze 1 open question · Evidence required
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$1.4M
Liquidity$10.2K
Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
2 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
December 31Accepting ordersMarket odds2.9%
Lai Ching-te impeached by December 31?
Yes2.9%Polymarket estimate
No97.2%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $10.2K
- Deadline · UTC
- Jan 1, 2027
- Yes bid / ask
- 0.8¢ / 4.9¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
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Resolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the President of Taiwan, Lai Ching-te, is formally impeached by the Legislative Yuan by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." For this market to resolve to "Yes" it is only necessary that the Legislative Yuan propose and approve a motion of impeachment against Lai Ching-te, regardless of whether the Constitutional Court later upholds the impeachment. The primary resolution source for this market is official information from the Taiwanese government, however a consensus of credible reporting may be used.