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LA Mayoral Election: Who will advance to the 2nd round?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.
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24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$2.2M
LiquidityUnavailable
Event end date · UTCJun 2, 2026
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
5 marketsThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
Bass & RamanClosedMarket odds100%
Will Karen Bass & Nithya Raman advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election?
Yes100%Polymarket estimate
No0%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- Unavailable
- Deadline · UTC
- Jun 2, 2026
- Yes bid / ask
- 99.9¢ / 100.0¢
- Trading fees
- Enabled · verify on Polymarket
AI research not covered
This market is closed or awaiting resolution.
Check AI research coverageResolution rules
The 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election will be held on June 2, 2026, to elect the mayor of Los Angeles, California. If no candidate receives a majority of the vote, a runoff election will be held on November 3, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed pair of candidates that advance to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election. If any candidate wins this election outright in the first round, this market will resolve to “1st Round Outright Winner”. If any candidate pair other than the listed pairs advances to the second round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election, this market will resolve to “Other”. If the results of the first round of the 2026 Los Angeles Mayoral election are not known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the city and county of Los Angeles.