KuCoin Insolvent before May?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

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24h volumeUnavailable

Total volume$9.4K

LiquidityUnavailable

Event end date · UTCApr 30, 2024

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

ClosedMarket odds0%

KuCoin Insolvent before May?

Yes0%Polymarket estimate

No100%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: Unavailable
Deadline · UTC: Apr 30, 2024
Yes bid / ask: 0.0¢ / 100.0¢
Trading fees: Not flagged by provider

Closed market · historical data

This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.

How research works

Resolution rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if official information released by KuCoin, official representatives of KuCoin (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), or a consensus of credible reporting announces by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET that KuCoin is insolvent or is filing/has filed for any variety of bankruptcy. This market will also resolve to "Yes" if KuCoin withdrawals for BTC and/or ETH are suspended for a majority of users for at least 7 full days (168 hours) in a row by April 30, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The primary resolution source for this settlement criterion will be official information released by KuCoin, official representatives of KuCoin (e.g. lawyers, spokespeople, etc.), and a consensus of credible reporting. If neither of the above criteria are met, this market will resolve to "No". KuCoin withdrawals being suspended for a majority of users means that a majority of users are unable to withdraw their BTC and/or ETH from KuCoin (E.g. If a majority of users are unable to withdraw their ETH from KuCoin, it will satisfy the condition.) If KuCoin suspends withdrawals on a day in the last week of April (e.g. They halt token withdrawals on April 29, 2024, 4 PM ET), this market will not resolve until either: 1) withdrawals are reenabled before 7 full days (168 hours) pass, resulting in a "No" resolution; 2) 7 full days pass (April 29, 2024 - May 6, 2024, 4 PM ET) where withdrawals are suspended, resulting in a "Yes" resolution.