Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Foretrace AI research

Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.

Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent Yes, No or pass decision on eligible markets.

Choose a market to analyze 1 eligible question · Evidence required

24h volume$84

Total volume$22.8K

Liquidity$21K

Event end date · UTCJan 1, 2027

Price history

Market probability

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Polymarket · UTC

Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.

Outcomes & resolution rules

1 market

These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.

Accepting ordersMarket odds2.7%

Kristi Noem impeached in 2026?

Yes2.7%Polymarket estimate

No97.4%Polymarket estimate

Liquidity: $21K
Deadline · UTC: Jan 1, 2027
Yes bid / ask: 2.5¢ / 2.8¢
Trading fees: Enabled · verify on Polymarket

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Resolution rules

This market will resolve to “Yes“ if the US House of Representatives, by simple majority vote, approves or passes one or more articles of impeachment of United States Secretary of Homeland Security Kristi Noem, between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Neither trial nor conviction by the US Senate, nor removal from office, is necessary to resolve this market to “Yes“. The primary resolution source for this market will be information from the federal government of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting will be used.

Retrieved 10/3/2026, 4:55:15 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.