
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
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This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kristi Noem and/or her spouse announce their intention to divorce by August 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". An announcement by the specified date of their intention to divorce will be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether the divorce later actually occurs, or whether the actual divorce occurs outside of the timeframe of this market. The resolution source will be statements from Kristi Noem and/or her spouse, and their representatives, however a definitive consensus of credible media reporting may be considered.
Retrieved 10/4/2026, 6:38:33 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.