Loading your workspace…
All markets
Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody by August 31?
Foretrace AI research
Understand the odds. Examine the reasoning.
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
View a sample AI report No open markets in this event. Closed markets retain historical data.
24h volumeUnavailable
Total volume$403.3
Liquidity$0
Event end date · UTCAug 31, 2025
Price history
Market probabilityLoading price history…
Polymarket · UTC
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
Outcomes & resolution rules
1 marketThese are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
ClosedMarket odds0%
Kilmar Abrego Garcia released from custody by August 31?
Yes0%Polymarket estimate
No100%Polymarket estimate
- Liquidity
- $0
- Deadline · UTC
- Aug 31, 2025
- Yes bid / ask
- — / 1.0¢
- Trading fees
- Not flagged by provider
Closed market · historical data
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksResolution rules
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia is released from custody by August 31, 2025, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". If Garcia is released from custody by the resolution date but remains under house arrest, the market will immediately resolve to "Yes". If Garcia is released on bond, this will count as being released from custody and the market will resolve to "Yes". Transporting Garcia to another location of custody will NOT suffice to resolve this market to "Yes". The primary resolution source for this market will be information from relevant government bodies, however a consensus of credible reporting will suffice.