
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Fierceness places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Sierra Leone places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Catching Freedom places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Just a Touch places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Forever Young places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Dornoch places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Mystik Dan places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Just Steel places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Honor Marie places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Track Phantom places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Stronghold places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Resilience places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Catalytic places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if T O Password places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Endlessly places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Domestic Product places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Epic Ride places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if West Saratoga places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Grand Mo the First places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Society Man places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Mugatu places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceThis market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if any horse other than Dornoch, Sierra Leone, Mystik Dan, Catching Freedom, Catalytic, Just Steel, Honor Marie, Just a Touch, T O Password, Forever Young, Track Phantom, West Saratoga, Endlessly, Domestic Product, Grand Mo the First, Fierceness, Stronghold, Resilience, Society Man, or Epic Ride places first in the 2024 Kentucky Derby. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". This market will close on May 4, 2024, 11:59 PM ET, allowing time to account for any disputes or disqualifications that might occur post-race. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from The Kentucky Derby (https://www.kentuckyderby.com/), however a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Resolution sourceRetrieved 10/4/2026, 3:23:17 AM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.