
Polymarket shows market prices. Foretrace adds AI probability estimates, opposing evidence and a price-dependent outcome or pass decision for each open market.
Sampled market observations, not AI forecasts. Lines connect available observations. Legend values are current provider quotes; chart points may be older.
These are market-implied probabilities, not AI forecasts. A displayed quote may differ from the price available for your order.
This market is closed. Its historical data remains available.
How research worksThis market will resolve to "Yes" if Kate Middleton appears in a video taken between March 1 and March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The video must be authentic and not AI-altered, and both of Kate Middleton's eyes and mouth must be visible in it. Still photos won't count for this market's resolution. The video must be taken in March for this market to resolve to "Yes." This market will immediately resolve to "No" if no such video has been released by March 31, 2024, 11:59 PM ET. The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Retrieved 10/3/2026, 8:12:09 PM UTC. Provider data is cached for up to 60 seconds. The upstream quote timestamp can be older.